Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 13 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.
This alert is in force until 30 September 2026, 21:45 UTC.
No stronger detection stands among the 6 recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 July 2026 — 4 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 16 September 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 30 at 2:31AM MST until September 30 at 11:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Nearby, since 27 July 2026
- September 30, 2026 · score 16 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 33.7764, -109.7918 |
| Nearest City | Payson (150 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-30T09:31:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.530a3259acd5c23802f33ec5cea26fdc063c175d.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-30T09:31:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-30T10:19:19.256Z. Material modification: 2026-09-30T10:35:29.577Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.530a3259acd5c23802f33ec5cea26fdc063c175d.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Graham, AZ; Apache, AZ; Gila, AZ; Navajo, AZ; Greenlee, AZ and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued September 30 at 2:31AM MST until September 30 at 11:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ |
| Expires | 2026-09-30T14:45:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tucson AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6e414dcf95a9dd4b63eaa4c45de863dc8cf64283.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a338c447b1965645c5b33402a3bf62af1041d900.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7ff4070e44065cccb4d892a5460c2351bf1c2b77.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cb78466364c91a5d49706ab82acacff4b20d8a53.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
Want to know when something happens in this area?